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10 (3) 2015

Dùng mô hình hồi quy phân vị đánh giá tác động của đầu tư FDI và tăng trưởng kinh tế lên xuất khẩu Việt Nam


Tác giả - Nơi làm việc:
Nguyễn Quyết - Trường Cao đẳng Tài Chính Hải Quan. , Việt Nam
Tác giả liên hệ, Email: Nguyễn Quyết - kim.npt@ou.edu.vn

Tóm tắt
Mục đích của bài viết này là dùng mô hình hồi quy phân vị đánh giá tác động của đầu tư trực tiếp nước ngoài (FDI) và tăng trưởng kinh tế (GDP) lên xuất khẩu (EX) của Việt Nam. Một số nghiên cứu trước được tổng hợp và phân tích dùng làm cơ sở lý thuyết. Kết quả nghiên cứu cho thấy trong dài hạn FDI và GDP là nhân tố ảnh hưởng tích cực lên tăng trưởng xuất khẩu. Tuy nhiên, không có bằng chứng cho thấy xuất khẩu là nguyên nhân làm gia tăng GDP.

Từ khóa
Xuất khẩu; hồi quy phân vị; kiểm định Granger; kiểm định đồng liên kết Johansen

Toàn văn:
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