Spatial dependence and the tourism-governance nexus in Vietnam: Insights from provincial-level data
Authors
-
Hoang Thi Phuong Thao
thaohtp@yersin.edu.vn
Yersin University of Da Lat, Lam Dong, Vietnamhttps://orcid.org/0000-0001-5213-8042
DOI:
10.46223/HCMCOUJS.econ.en.17.1.4627.2027Keywords:
tourism development; governance; regional policy; quality of life; spatial regression; queen contiguityJEL Classification:
C31; R58; Z32; Z38Abstract
To simultaneously boost tourism revenue across provinces, the Vietnamese government emphasized strengthening the linkage and cooperation between regions. This study measures the effectiveness of that strategy, which is regional connectivity, or spatial spillover effect, on tourism revenue of 63 provinces in 2019 and 2022. In particular, the government also heavily invests in improving the quality of the administrative apparatus to improve the quality of locals’ lives, one of the factors supporting tourism development for localities. Moreover, Vietnam is converging many factors to become a dynamic and fast-growing economy. Analysis of revenue growth is positively impacted by the economic environment, and government intervention to make adjustments is necessary in terms of industry policy and to fill the research gap for the academic side. Spatial regression models for both 2019 and 2022, with the participation of variables Tourists, Labor force, Enterprises, Income, Public service delivery, Environmental Governance, and E-Governance, all find spatial dependence between provinces, but in the negative direction. The factors that play an important role in raising tourism revenue are Tourists and Enterprises. The significance of variables related to the quality of life improvement policy was not found. In short, government interventions and efforts have not had a positive impact on Vietnam’s tourism industry. Therefore, this study has discussed some policy implications for policymakers to connect the benefits of policies that the government develops for the tourism industry.
Downloads
Download data is not yet available.References
Ali, B. (2022). Community participation and quality of life in nature-Based tourism: Exploring the antecedents and moderators. Journal of Hospitality & Tourism Research, 46(3), 630-661. https://doi.org/10.1177/1096348020980094.
Álvarez-Díaz, M., Chamorro-Rivas, J. M., González-Gómez, M., & Otero-Giráldez, M. S. (2024). The impact of the Covid-19 outbreak on intra- and inter-regional domestic travel: Evidence from Spain. Tourism Economics, 30(4), 1039-1061. https://doi.org/10.1177/13548166231185422
Athanasopoulou, A. (2013). Tourism as a driver of economic growth and development in the EU--27 and ASEAN regions. https://lib.ncdd.gov.kh/storage/app/public/library_backend/CAT_24741_1/2016-Tourism-eu.pdf
Bakas, F. E., Duxbury, N., Remoaldo, P. C., & Matos, O. (2019). The social utility of small-scale art festivals with creative tourism in Portugal. International Journal of Event and Festival Management, 10(3), 248-266. https://doi.org/10.1108/IJEFM-02-2019-0009/FULL/XML
Belloumi, M. (2014). The relationship between trade, FDI and economic growth in Tunisia: An application of the autoregressive distributed lag model. Economic Systems, 38(2), 269-287. https://doi.org/10.1016/J.ECOSYS.2013.09.002
Biagi, B., Ladu, M. G., & Royuela, V. (2017). Human development and tourism specialization. Evidence from a panel of developed and developing countries. International Journal of Tourism Research, 19(2), 160-178. https://doi.org/10.1002/jtr.2094
Burbano, D. V., Valdivieso, J. C., Izurieta, J. C., Meredith, T. C., & Ferri, D. Q. (2022). “Rethink and reset” tourism in the Galapagos Islands: Stakeholders’ views on the sustainability of tourism development. Annals of Tourism Research Empirical Insights, 3(2), Article 100057. https://doi.org/10.1016/J.ANNALE.2022.100057
Carfora, A., Pansini, R. V., & Scandurra, G. (2019). The causal relationship between energy consumption, energy prices and economic growth in Asian developing countries: A replication. Energy Strategy Reviews, 23, 81-85. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.esr.2018.12.004
Chen, H., Huang, X., & Li, Z. (2020). A content analysis of Chinese news coverage on COVID-19 and tourism. Current Issues in Tourism, 1-8. https://doi.org/10.1080/13683500.2020.1763269
Chhetri, A., Chhetri, P., Arrowsmith, C., & Corcoran, J. (2017). Modelling tourism and hospitality employment clusters: A spatial econometric approach. Tourism Geographies, 19(3), 398-424. https://doi.org/10.1080/14616688.2016.1253765
Chhetri, P., Corcoran, J., & Hall, C. M. (2008). Modelling the patterns and drivers of tourism related employment for South-East Queensland, Australia - A spatial econometric approach. Tourism Recreation Research, 33(1), 25-38. https://doi.org/10.1080/02508281.2008.11081287
Chingarande, A., & Saayman, A. (2018). Critical success factors for tourism-led growth. Wiley Online Library, 20(6), 800-818. https://doi.org/10.1002/jtr.2233
Croes, R., Ridderstaat, J., Bąk, M., & Zientara, P. (2021). Tourism specialization, economic growth, human development and transition economies: The case of Poland. Tourism Management, 82, Article 104181. https://doi.org/10.1016/J.TOURMAN.2020.104181
Darmofal, D. (2015). Spatial lag and spatial error models. In Spatial analysis for the social sciences, analytical methods for social research (pp. 96-118). Cambridge University Press. https://doi.org/10.1017/cbo9781139051293.007
Deng, T., Ma, M., & Cao, J. (2014). Tourism resource development and long-term economic growth: A resource curse hypothesis approach. Tourism Economics, 20(5), 923-938. https://doi.org/10.5367/te.2013.0325
Esiyok, B., & Ugur, M. (2017). A spatial regression approach to FDI in Vietnam: Province-level evidence. Singapore Economic Review, 62(2), 459-481. https://doi.org/10.1142/S0217590815501155
Fernández, J. A. S., Martínez, J. M. G., & Martín, J. M. M. (2022). An analysis of the competitiveness of the tourism industry in a context of economic recovery following the Covid-19 pandemic. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 174, Article 121301. https://doi.org/10.1016/J.TECHFORE.2021.121301
Gautam, V. (2023). Why local residents support sustainable tourism development? Journal of Sustainable Tourism, 31(3), 877-893. https://doi.org/10.1080/09669582.2022.2082449
Guetat, H., Jarboui, S., & Boujelbene, Y. (2015). Evaluation of hotel industry performance and corporate governance: A stochastic frontier analysis. Tourism Management Perspectives, 15, 128-136. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tmp.2015.05.004
Hoang, H. H., & Goujon, M. (2014). Determinants of foreign direct investment in Vietnamese provinces: A spatial econometric analysis. In Post-communist economies (pp. 103-121). Taylor & Francis. https://doi.org/10.1080/14631377.2014.874658
Hoang, T. P. T., & Bakucz, M. (2024). Good governance and tourism development in Vietnam: Looking back at the past three decades (1990-2023). Cogent Business & Management, 11(1), Article 2407048. https://doi.org/10.1080/23311975.2024.2407048
Holik, A. (2016). Relationship of economic growth with tourism sector. JEJAK: Jurnal Ekonomi dan Kebijakan, 9(1), 16-33. https://doi.org/10.15294/jejak.v9i1.6652
Huang, A., Makridis, C., Baker, M., Medeiros, M., & Guo, Z. (2020). Understanding the impact of Covid-19 intervention policies on the hospitality labor market. International Journal of Hospitality Management, 91, Article 102660. https://doi.org/10.1016/J.IJHM.2020.102660
Hye, Q. M. A., & Lau, W. Y. (2014). Trade openness and economic growth: Empirical evidence from India. Vilnius Gediminas Technical University, 16(1), 188-205. https://doi.org/10.3846/16111699.2012.720587
Kelejian, H. H., & Prucha, I. R. (2001). On the asymptotic distribution of the Moran I test statistic with applications. Journal of Econometrics, 104, 219-257.
Kramer, A., & Kramer, K. Z. (2020). The potential impact of the Covid-19 pandemic on occupational status, work from home, and occupational mobility. Journal of Vocational Behavior, 119, Article 103442. https://doi.org/10.1016/J.JVB.2020.103442
Lee, H. K., & Fernando, Y. (2015). The antecedents and outcomes of the medical tourism supply chain. Tourism Management, 46, 148-157. https://doi.org/10.1016/J.TOURMAN.2014.06.014
LeSage, J. P. (2004). Spatial econometrics. Encyclopedia of Social Measurement, 613-619. https://doi.org/10.1016/B0-12-369398-5/00343-1
Li, J., Rim, G. N., & An, C. J. (2022). Comparative Study of Knowledge-Based Economic Strength Between China and the USA. Journal of the Knowledge Economy, 14(4), 4256-4292. https://doi.org/10.1007/S13132-022-01054-2/TABLES/11
Matthews, S. A. (2006). GeoDa and spatial regression modeling. GISPopSci, 38(2), 273-278.
Mensah, I. K., Zeng, G., & Luo, C. (2020). E-government services adoption: An extension of the unified model of electronic government adoption. Sage Open, 10(2), Article 21582440209. https://doi.org/10.1177/2158244020933593
Munanura, I. E., & Kline, J. D. (2023). Residents’ support for tourism: The role of tourism impact attitudes, forest value orientations, and quality of life in Oregon, United States. Tourism Planning & Development, 20(4), 566-582. https://doi.org/10.1080/21568316.2021.2012713
Mustafa, G., Rizov, M., & Kernohan, D. (2017). Growth, human development, and trade: The Asian experience. Economic Modelling, 61, 93-101. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econmod.2016.12.007
Mutonyi, B. R., Slåtten, T., & Lien, G. (2020). Empowering eadership, work group cohesiveness, individual learning orientation and individual innovative behaviour in the public sector: Empirical evidence from Norway. International Journal of Public Leadership, 16(2), 175-197. https://doi.org/10.1108/IJPL-07-2019-0045
Nguyen, V. S., & Nguyen, V. B. (2019). An application of the spatial regression model for Vietnam’s export: Province-level approach. VNUHCM Journal of Economics, Business and Law, 3(3), 270-282. https://doi.org/10.32508/stdjelm.v3i3.567
Ohe, Y., & Ohe, Y. (2020). Features and challenges of rural tourism in Japan. In Community-based rural tourism and entrepreneurship (pp. 33-47). Springer. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-15-0383-2_2
Ohlan, R. (2017).The relationship between tourism, financial development and economic growth in India. Future Business Journal, 3(1), 9-22. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.fbj.2017.01.003
Ouchen, A., & Montargot, N. (2021). Non-spatial and spatial econometric analysis of tourism demand in a panel of countries around the world. Spatial Economic Analysis, 1-22. https://doi.org/10.1080/17421772.2021.1940256
Öztürk, M., Ihtiyar, A., & Aras, O. N. (2019). The relationship between tourism industry and economic growth: A panel data analysis for ASEAN member countries. Quantitative Tourism Research in Asia, Perspectives on Asian Tourism, 35-58. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-13-2463-5_3
Paci, R., & Marrocu, E. (2014). Tourism and regional growth in Europe. Papers in Regional Science, 93(S1), S25-S50. https://doi.org/10.1111/pirs.12085
Palrão, T., Rodrigues, R. I., & Estêvão, J. V. (2021). The role of the public sector in the aftermath of the Covid-19 pandemic crisis: The case of Portuguese events’ industry. Journal of Convention & Event Tourism, 22(5), 407-428. https://doi.org/10.1080/15470148.2021.1904077
Pérez-Rodríguez, J. V., Rachinger, H., & Santana-Gallego, M. (2021). Testing the validity of the tourism-led growth hypothesis under long-range dependence. Current Issues in Tourism, 24(6), 768-793. https://doi.org/10.1080/13683500.2020.1744537
Ploeckl, F. (2019). Spatial modeling. Springer Nature. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-00181-0_56
Poister, T. H. (2010). The future of strategic planning in the public sector: Linking strategic management and performance. Public Administration Review, 70, s246-s254. https://doi.org/10.1111/J.1540-6210.2010.02284.X
Raza, S. A., Qureshi, M. A., Ahmed, M., Qaiser, S., Ali, R., & Ahmed, F. (2021). Non-linear relationship between tourism, economic growth, urbanization, and environmental degradation: evidence from smooth transition models. Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 28(2), 1426-1442. https://doi.org/10.1007/S11356-020-10179-3/TABLES/8
Robina-Ramírez, R., Sánchez, M. S., Jiménez-Naranjo, H. V., & Castro-Serrano, J. (2021). Tourism governance during the Covid-19 pandemic crisis: A proposal for a sustainable model to restore the tourism industry. Environment, Development and Sustainability, 24, 1-22. https://doi.org/10.1007/S10668-021-01707-3/FIGURES/4
Romão, J., & Saito, H. (2017). A spatial analysis on the determinants of tourism performance in Japanese Prefectures. Asia-Pacific Journal of Regional Science, 1(1), 243-264. https://doi.org/10.1007/s41685-017-0038-0
Rüttenauer, T. (2019). Spatial regression models: A systematic comparison of different model specifications using Monte Carlo experiments. Sociological Methods & Research, 51(2), 728-759. https://doi.org/10.1177/0049124119882467
Santos, L. D., & Vieira, A. C. (2020). Tourism and regional development: A spatial econometric model for Portugal at municipal level. Portuguese Economic Journal, 19(3), 285-299. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10258-020-00179-z
Sara, I. M., Dharmanegara, I. B. A., & Korri, I. N. S. (2018). The dynamics of international tourism and economic growth convergence in ASEAN+3. Journal of Environmental Management and Tourism, IX(28), 815-823. https://doi.org/10.14505/jemt.v9.4(28).15
Seshadri, U., Kumar, P., Vij, A., & Ndlovu, T. (2023). Marketing strategies for the tourism industry in the United Arab Emirates after the Covid-19 era. Worldwide Hospitality and Tourism Themes, 15(2), 169-177. https://doi.org/10.1108/WHATT-10-2022-0120/FULL/XML
Shahzad, S. J. H., Shahbaz, M., Ferrer, R., & Kumar, R. R. (2017). Tourism-led growth hypothesis in the top ten tourist destinations: New evidence using the quantile-on-quantile approach. Tourism Management, 60, 223-232. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tourman.2016.12.006
Shakouri, B., Yazdi, S. K., Nategian, N., & Shikhrezaei, N. (2017). The relation between international tourism and economic growth. Journal of Tourism & Hospitality, 6(4), Article 4. https://doi.org/10.4172/2167-0269.1000295
Shi, Z., Cheng, Q., & Xu, D. (2021). Spatial econometric analysis of cultural tourism development quality in the Yangtze River Delta. Asia Pacific Journal of Tourism Research, 26(6), 597-613. https://doi.org/10.1080/10941665.2021.1886131
Shrestha, R. K., & L’Espoir Decosta, P. (2021). Developing dynamic capabilities for community collaboration and tourism product innovation in response to crisis: Nepal and Covid-19. Journal of Sustainable Tourism, 31(1), 168-186. https://doi.org/10.1080/09669582.2021.2023164
Škare, M., Soriano, D. R., & Porada-Rochoń, M. (2021). Impact of Covid-19 on the travel and tourism industry. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 163, Article 120469. https://doi.org/10.1016/J.TECHFORE.2020.120469
Sokhanvar, A., Çiftçioğlu, S., & Javid, E. (2018). Another look at tourism- economic development nexus. Tourism Management Perspectives, 26, 97-106. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tmp.2018.03.002
Su, L., Yang, X., & Swanson, S. R. (2022). The impact of spatial-temporal variation on tourist destination resident quality of life. Tourism Management, 93, Article 104572. https://doi.org/10.1016/J.TOURMAN.2022.104572.
Tugcu, C. T. (2014). Tourism and economic growth nexus revisited: A panel causality analysis for the case of the Mediterranean Region. Tourism Management, 42, 207-212. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tourman.2013.12.007
Vaishar, A., & Šťastná, M. (2020). Impact of the Covid-19 pandemic on rural tourism in Czechia Preliminary considerations. Current Issues in Tourism, 25(2), 187-191. https://doi.org/10.1080/13683500.2020.1839027
Vo, X. V., Tran, T. T. A.. & Nguyen, V. T. (2020). Investigating the economic relationship between provinces in Vietnam: A spatial regression approach. Journal of Economic Development, 45(1), 47-60.
Wilson, S., Fesenmaier, D., Fesenmaier, J., & van Es, J. C. (2016). Factors for success in rural tourism development. Sage Journal, 40(2), 132-138. https://doi.org/10.1177/004728750104000203
Woo, E., Kim, H., & Kim, Y. G. (2021). Touristification phenomenon and support for tourism development. An International Journal of Tourism and Hospitality Research, 33(1), 65-78. https://doi.org/10.1080/13032917.2021.1906287
Xia, W., Doğan, B., Shahzad, U., Adedoyin, F. F., Popoola, A., & Bashir, M. A. (2021). An empirical investigation of tourism-led growth hypothesis in the european countries: evidence from augmented mean group estimator. Portuguese Economic Journal. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10258-021-00193-9
Yang, Y., & Wong, K. K. F. (2012). A spatial econometric approach to model spillover effects in tourism flows. Journal of Travel Research, 51(6), 768-778. https://doi.org/10.1177/0047287512437855
Zhang, J. (2009). Spatial distribution of inbound tourism in China: Determinants and implications. Tourism and Hospitality Research, 9(1), 32-49. https://doi.org/10.1057/thr.2008.41
Zhao, X., & Yu, G. (2021). Data-driven spatial econometric analysis model for regional tourism development. Mathematical Problems in Engineering, 1-7. https://doi.org/10.1155/2021/6631833
Downloads
Received: 24-07-2025Accepted: 12-11-2025Published: 06-09-2026Statistics
Abstract: 41 PDF: 20How to Cite
Hoang, T. P. T. (2026). Spatial dependence and the tourism-governance nexus in Vietnam: Insights from provincial-level data. Ho Chi Minh City Open University Journal of Science - Economics and Business Administration, 17(1). https://doi.org/10.46223/HCMCOUJS.econ.en.17.1.4627.2027License
Copyright (c) 2026 Hoang Thi Phuong Thao

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License.
Similar Articles
- Thao Thi Phuong Hoang, The determinants of tourism revenue in Vietnam: A study with the spatial panel regression , Ho Chi Minh City Open University Journal of Science - Economics and Business Administration: 15(1)2025
- Oanh Thi Kim Tran, Trang Thi Thanh Chu, Threshold impact of shadow economy on sustainable development in high and low-financial development countries , Ho Chi Minh City Open University Journal of Science - Economics and Business Administration: 14(3)2024
- Vo Thi Ngoc Thuy, Le Cat Vi, Assessing and proposing tourism product development in Thu Duc City , Ho Chi Minh City Open University Journal of Science - Economics and Business Administration: 16(5)2026
- Trinh Hoang Hong Hue, Do Nguyen Khanh Van, Limiting greenhouse gas emissions in the organization for economic co-operation and development countries: The role of green innovation and national governance , Ho Chi Minh City Open University Journal of Science - Economics and Business Administration: 16(5)2026
- Trinh Thuy Anh, Bui Quang Hung, Nguyen Pham Kien Minh, Research on the model of university autonomy in the direction of corporate governance , Ho Chi Minh City Open University Journal of Science - Economics and Business Administration: 11 (2) 2021
- Ho Thanh Truc, Bui Thi Thanh, Nong Thi Nhu Mai, Memorable travel experiences and destination loyalty: The moderating role of crowding in festival tourism in Ho Chi Minh City , Ho Chi Minh City Open University Journal of Science - Economics and Business Administration: 16(10)2026 (ONLINE FIRST)
- Osangthammanont Anantachoke, Financial role in supporting the sustainable development goals in ASEAN , Ho Chi Minh City Open University Journal of Science - Economics and Business Administration: 8 (2) 2018
- Leomarich Fortugaliza Casinillo, Karen Luz Pacetes Yap, On the predictors of governance and administration of the vegetable farmers’ association: A regression analysis , Ho Chi Minh City Open University Journal of Science - Economics and Business Administration: 16(9)2026 (ONLINE FIRST)
- Thong Tien Nguyen, Nhi Phuong Doan, Tuong Minh Tran, Business group, corporate governance and business performance: A study in Vietnam , Ho Chi Minh City Open University Journal of Science - Economics and Business Administration: 15(2)2025
- Pham Nang Thang, Truong Trung Tin, Do Le Minh Thu, Nguyen Tran Thang, Do Thi Thu Thao, The nonlinear effect of international tourism on income inequality: Testing the Kuznets curve hypothesis , Ho Chi Minh City Open University Journal of Science - Economics and Business Administration: 16(1)2026
You may also start an advanced similarity search for this article.
