Covid-19 pandemic and stock returns volatility: Evidence from Vietnam’s stock marke

Authors

DOI:

10.46223/HCMCOUJS.econ.en.13.1.2054.2023

Keywords:

Covid-19; Garch; stock returns

JEL Classification:

G11; G14; G18

Abstract

The Covid-19 global pandemic has caused trouble for labour and financial markets worldwide, and financial and health crises resulted. This makes policy makers get confused. The study is carried out with the aim of investigating the impacts of Covid-19 on both the mean and the conditional volatility of the Vietnamese stock market returns, using a simple the Generalized Autoregressive Conditionally Heteroskedastic (GARCH) model, spanning the period 01 January 2020 to 30 July 2021. The confirmed case and deaths growth rate are used as two proxies for the Covid-19 pandemic. The empirical evidence reveals that higher confirmed cases growth rate lead to a decrease in stock returns. It is also noted that stock returns volatility is affected positively and significantly by confirmed cases growth rate. This empirical evidence may prove informative for policy makers and investors.

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

References

Alagidede, P., Panagiotidis, T., & Zhang, X. (2011). Causal relationship between stock prices and exchange rates. Journal of International Trade and Economic Development, 20(1), 67-86. doi:10.1080/09638199.2011.538186

Al-Awadhi, A. M., Alsaifi, K., Al-Awadhi, A., & Alhammadi, S. (2020). Death and contagious infectious diseases: Impact of the Covid-19 virus on stock market returns. Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, 27(2020), Article 100326. doi:10.1016/j.jbef.2020.100326

Apergis, N., & Apergis, E. (2020). The role of Covid-19 for Chinese stock returns: Evidence from a GARCHX model. Asia-Pacific Journal of Accounting and Economics, 1-9. doi:10.1080/16081625.2020.1816185

Ashraf, B. N. (2020). Stock markets’ reaction to Covid-19: Cases or fatalities? Research in International Business and Finance, 54(May), Article 101249. doi:10.1016/j.ribaf.2020.101249

Baele, L., Bekaert, G., Inghelbrecht, K., & Wei, M. (2020). Flights to Safety. Review of Financial Studies, 33(2), 689-746. doi:10.1093/rfs/hhz055

Downloads

Received: 19-09-2021
Accepted: 25-03-2022
Published: 29-07-2022

Statistics Views

Abstract: 916
PDF: 637

How to Cite

Linh, N. T. M. (2022). Covid-19 pandemic and stock returns volatility: Evidence from Vietnam’s stock marke. HO CHI MINH CITY OPEN UNIVERSITY JOURNAL OF SCIENCE - ECONOMICS AND BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION, 13(1), 156–168. https://doi.org/10.46223/HCMCOUJS.econ.en.13.1.2054.2023